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Investors Can Scale Operations With Unitech and DLF


By Sumit Kumar, Section Gurgaon Real Estate Property
Posted on Mon Aug 25, 2008 at 12:59:22 AM EST

This week, we take a look at the two real estate biggies -- DLF and Unitech. Investors who want to take advantage of growth in the domestic real estate sector can draw strength from DLF's impeccable delivery record and scale of operations, while the bravehearts can go for Unitech.

DLF
 Aprominent player in the National Capital Region (NCR), DLF is the largest listed realty company in India. Besides being present in homes, offices and shopping mall segments, it has added hotels, infrastructure and special economic zones (SEZs) divisions to its portfolio.

Business: With land reserves of over 16,000 acres spread across 32 cities, the company has delivered 224 million sq feet of completed development since 1949. While residential projects contribute around 65% to its revenue, retail and commercial projects account for the remaining 35%.

After dominating the luxury housing market, the company has now shifted its focus to mid-income housing projects. DLF plans to shift the focus of its product portfolio from residential to commercial and retail projects. Around 46% of future development is expected to take place in metros (Chennai, Bangalore and Kolkata) and another 33% in super metros (Delhi and Mumbai). This will help in maintaining its premium pricing policy.

FINANCIALS: DLF has shown phenomenal growth in sales, as well as profit. With the real estate industry growing at 30%, DLF has been one of the star performers in this sector. Its sales have witnessed a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of more than 95% over the past three years, while its net profit has seen an over threefold growth during the same period. However, it needs to be noted that sales growth is largely on account of increasing receivables.

The company has a strong asset portfolio with accruing leasing income. Tax sops in IT SEZs make them most lucrative for builders. DLF is expected to benefit significantly, as it has more than 20 million sq ft under IT-SEZ construction. Also, the company will not be able to maintain its premium price when more projects come onstream in the NCR, its core region of operation.

FOREIGN FUNDING: Foreign players find it worthwhile to buy small stakes in individual projects of large developers in India, rather than buying out companies. DLF has managed to secure Rs 1,675 crore of private equity (PE) in seven of its group housing/township projects. Around 49% of its stake was diluted in favour of Merrill Lynch and Brahma Investments in the beginning of this year.

This came at a time when the real estate industry was going through a bad phase. Though small developers are still finding it difficult to finance their projects, DLF seems insulated from this risk by its sheer size in the industry. The company also plans to list its real estate investment trust (REIT) in FY09 and raise funds to finance DLF Assets (DAL)'s purchases.

GROWTH DRIVERS: The trend in the real estate industry has changed from amassing land banks to exhibiting delivery capability. DLF has entered into several strategic tie-ups with international companies. The list includes Lang O'Rourke for construction, WSP for design and engineering, Feedback Ventures for project management, and Dubai-based Nakheel for SEZ development.
A key catalyst for the company will be DAL's ability to consistently raise funds to buy commercial assets from DLF. With the shift in the company's focus to commercial and office segments, this can also be made available for listing through a REIT, once DLF gets regulatory approval.

RISKS: The company currently has large projects under execution. Timely delivery of these projects will be a key concern. Moreover, on the financials' side, the company has a high level of receivables that may impact its cash flows, which are stretched as of now. Also, delay in raising funds for DAL can impact DLF's topline in future.

OUR TAKE: DLF's strong record of delivery schedule and its scale of operations are proof of its operational capability. Moreover, the low debt on DLF's balance sheet makes it a much safer bet for long-term investors who can take advantage of growth in the domestic real estate sector.

Beta: 1.22
Institutional Holding: 6.55%
Dividend Yield: 0.36%
P/E: 30.47
M-Cap : Rs 82,105 cr
CMP: Rs 484.90

Click on "Full Story" For Read About Unitech

Unitech
Unitech is a major real estate player in NCR and Kolkata. Besides real estate, it earns revenue from construction activity , consultancy and fund management.

BUSINESS: Unitech has a land bank of around 13,758 acres, which includes residential, commercial, retail, hospitality and SEZ projects. After setting its footprint in the premium market, the company has moved towards mid-housing ,
as well as slum rehabilitation. Around 90% of its revenue comes from real estate and the remaining from construction and consultancy.

The residential segment constitutes about 79% of its future saleable area.
Unitech's future projects will give it a pan-India presence. The company recently partnered with a Mumbai developer to enter the local market.

This is a big positive, as it will give the company a presence in an important realty market. However, on the flip side, Unitech can face operational and execution inefficiencies in the new markets compared to its home ground.

FINANCIALS: The sudden increase in real estate demand led to a multi-fold surge in real estate prices. This, coupled with hoards of foreign money chasing land assets, further pumped up property prices.

Being one of the early movers in the industry , Unitech benefited by selling projects at higher prices. Its topline and bottomline jumped manifold. However, in its hurry to accumulate a huge land bank, the company is not only stuck with overdue land payments, but is also increasing its receivables.

Its cash flow position is not much different from other players in the industry. In fact, its high interest cost is a big burden on its profitability. The company's latest quarter results show a slowdown in sales growth (-3 %), as well net profit (-13 %).

FOREIGN FUNDING: With a high debt-equity ratio, Unitech could not afford to go for further leverage; hence, the company opted for listing on the alternative investment market (AIM) in London in '06. It fetched Unitech funds worth Rs 3,000 crore for its six IT projects. The company further raised close to Rs 740 crore from Lehman for its Mumbai rehabilitation project in April '08.

Growth Drivers: Unitech has forayed into telecom and also won licenses in 22 circles. Maximum growth may come from a stake sale or equity dilution at the special purpose vehicle (SPV) level. Similar is the case with the hotel and retail verticals.

Since major demand in real estate is coming from the mid-housing segment, Unitech has shifted its focus to the highvolume mid-income housing segment. It has also tied up with international architects and design consultants to enhance its execution capability.

Risks: The slowdown in the real estate sector has impacted demand, thereby delaying Unitech's project launches. Being a highly leveraged company, its interest burden is among the highest in the industry. This is putting pressure on its margins. Moreover, weaker market conditions have forced the company to delay its Singapore listing.

Unavailability of funds can affect the deadlines for project completions as well. With a slowdown in the retail market, viability of the company's retail projects (approximately 9 million sq ft) seems doubtful.

Our Take: Given the current state of the real estate industry and Unitech's highly leveraged balance sheet, investment in this company will be worthwhile for the bravehearts only.

Beta: 1.18

Institutional Holding: 5.41%

Dividend Yield: 0.14%

P/E: 26.41

M-Cap : Rs 25,990 cr

CMP: Rs 159.05

Source: Economic Times, 25 Aug, 2008 Investors can scale operations with Unitech and DLF

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